Liberty Flour (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.00
| LFM Stock | 20.00 1.24 6.61% |
Liberty |
Liberty Flour Target Price Odds to finish over 20.00
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.00 | 90 days | 20.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Flour to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Liberty Flour Mills probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This indicates Liberty Flour Mills market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Liberty Flour is expected to follow. Additionally Liberty Flour Mills has an alpha of 0.6582, implying that it can generate a 0.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Flour Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Flour
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Flour Mills. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liberty Flour Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Flour is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Flour's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Flour Mills, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Flour within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Liberty Flour Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Flour for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Flour Mills can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liberty Flour Mills is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Liberty Flour Mills appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liberty Flour Mills has accumulated about 0 in cash with (89.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Liberty Flour Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liberty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liberty Flour's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Flour's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 62.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 388.4 M |
Liberty Flour Technical Analysis
Liberty Flour's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Flour Mills. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Flour Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Flour's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Flour's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Flour's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liberty Flour Mills
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Flour for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Flour Mills help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Liberty Flour Mills is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Liberty Flour Mills appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liberty Flour Mills has accumulated about 0 in cash with (89.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Liberty Stock
Liberty Flour financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liberty Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liberty with respect to the benefits of owning Liberty Flour security.