Lcnb Corporation Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.11
| LCNB Stock | USD 15.00 0.06 0.40% |
Closest to current price LCNB long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
LCNB |
LCNB Target Price Odds to finish below 17.11
The tendency of LCNB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.11 after 90 days |
| 15.00 | 90 days | 17.11 | about 88.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LCNB to stay under $ 17.11 after 90 days from now is about 88.66 (This LCNB Corporation probability density function shows the probability of LCNB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LCNB price to stay between its current price of $ 15.00 and $ 17.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.56 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days LCNB has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LCNB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LCNB Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LCNB Corporation has an alpha of 0.0543, implying that it can generate a 0.0543 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LCNB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LCNB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LCNB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LCNB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LCNB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LCNB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LCNB Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LCNB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
LCNB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LCNB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LCNB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LCNB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 9.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.7 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.88 |
LCNB Technical Analysis
LCNB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LCNB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LCNB Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing LCNB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LCNB Predictive Forecast Models
LCNB's time-series forecasting models is one of many LCNB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LCNB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards LCNB in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, LCNB's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from LCNB options trading.
Check out LCNB Backtesting, LCNB Valuation, LCNB Correlation, LCNB Hype Analysis, LCNB Volatility, LCNB History as well as LCNB Performance. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LCNB. If investors know LCNB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LCNB listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 0.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.226 |
The market value of LCNB is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LCNB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LCNB's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LCNB's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LCNB's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LCNB's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LCNB's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LCNB is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LCNB's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.