Lepanto Consolidated (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.066
| LC Stock | 0.07 0 2.94% |
Lepanto |
Lepanto Consolidated Target Price Odds to finish over 0.066
The tendency of Lepanto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.07 | 90 days | 0.07 | about 81.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lepanto Consolidated to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.63 (This Lepanto Consolidated Mining probability density function shows the probability of Lepanto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lepanto Consolidated has a beta of 0.87. This indicates Lepanto Consolidated Mining market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Lepanto Consolidated is expected to follow. Additionally Lepanto Consolidated Mining has an alpha of 0.0128, implying that it can generate a 0.0128 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lepanto Consolidated Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lepanto Consolidated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lepanto Consolidated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lepanto Consolidated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lepanto Consolidated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lepanto Consolidated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lepanto Consolidated Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lepanto Consolidated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0008 |
Lepanto Consolidated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lepanto Consolidated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lepanto Consolidated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lepanto Consolidated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (496.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Lepanto Consolidated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lepanto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lepanto Consolidated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lepanto Consolidated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.7 M |
Lepanto Consolidated Technical Analysis
Lepanto Consolidated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lepanto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lepanto Consolidated Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lepanto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lepanto Consolidated Predictive Forecast Models
Lepanto Consolidated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lepanto Consolidated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lepanto Consolidated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lepanto Consolidated
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lepanto Consolidated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lepanto Consolidated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lepanto Consolidated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lepanto Consolidated has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (496.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Other Information on Investing in Lepanto Stock
Lepanto Consolidated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lepanto Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lepanto with respect to the benefits of owning Lepanto Consolidated security.