Kaixin Auto Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.84
| KXIN Stock | USD 1.48 0.09 5.73% |
Kaixin |
Kaixin Auto Target Price Odds to finish below 6.84
The tendency of Kaixin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 6.84 after 90 days |
| 1.48 | 90 days | 6.84 | about 58.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaixin Auto to stay under $ 6.84 after 90 days from now is about 58.67 (This Kaixin Auto Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kaixin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kaixin Auto Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.48 and $ 6.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kaixin Auto will likely underperform. Additionally Kaixin Auto Holdings has an alpha of 0.9847, implying that it can generate a 0.98 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kaixin Auto Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kaixin Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaixin Auto Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kaixin Auto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaixin Auto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaixin Auto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaixin Auto Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaixin Auto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Kaixin Auto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaixin Auto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaixin Auto Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kaixin Auto Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.27 M). | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings currently holds about 5.26 M in cash with (2.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Kaixin Auto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaixin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaixin Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaixin Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Kaixin Auto Technical Analysis
Kaixin Auto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kaixin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kaixin Auto Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kaixin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kaixin Auto Predictive Forecast Models
Kaixin Auto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kaixin Auto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kaixin Auto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kaixin Auto Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaixin Auto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaixin Auto Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kaixin Auto Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 31.54 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.56 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (22.27 M). | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings currently holds about 5.26 M in cash with (2.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Kaixin Auto Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out Kaixin Auto Backtesting, Kaixin Auto Valuation, Kaixin Auto Correlation, Kaixin Auto Hype Analysis, Kaixin Auto Volatility, Kaixin Auto History as well as Kaixin Auto Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaixin Auto. If investors know Kaixin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaixin Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (129.04) | Revenue Per Share 18.145 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets (0.48) | Return On Equity (1.34) |
The market value of Kaixin Auto Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaixin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaixin Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaixin Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaixin Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaixin Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaixin Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kaixin Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaixin Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.