Kaixin Auto Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| KXIN Stock | USD 1.20 0.03 2.44% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kaixin Auto Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31. Kaixin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Kaixin Auto's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kaixin Auto's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kaixin Auto fundamentals over time.
Kaixin |
Kaixin Auto 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kaixin Auto Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaixin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaixin Auto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kaixin Auto Stock Forecast Pattern
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Kaixin Auto Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kaixin Auto's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaixin Auto's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.49, respectively. We have considered Kaixin Auto's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaixin Auto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaixin Auto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 100.8603 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0584 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0798 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0525 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.3113 |
Predictive Modules for Kaixin Auto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaixin Auto Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Kaixin Auto
For every potential investor in Kaixin, whether a beginner or expert, Kaixin Auto's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaixin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaixin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaixin Auto's price trends.Kaixin Auto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaixin Auto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaixin Auto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaixin Auto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kaixin Auto Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kaixin Auto's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kaixin Auto's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Kaixin Auto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaixin Auto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaixin Auto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaixin Auto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaixin Auto Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5397.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
Kaixin Auto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kaixin Auto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaixin Auto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaixin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.04 | |||
| Variance | 49.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether Kaixin Auto Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Kaixin Auto's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Kaixin Auto Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Kaixin Auto Holdings Stock: Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaixin Auto to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaixin Auto. If investors know Kaixin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaixin Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (129.04) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Kaixin Auto Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaixin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaixin Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaixin Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaixin Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaixin Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaixin Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kaixin Auto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaixin Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.