JPP Allocation (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 82.50
| JPPA11 Fund | BRL 82.50 2.49 3.11% |
JPP |
JPP Allocation Target Price Odds to finish over 82.50
The tendency of JPP Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 82.50 | 90 days | 82.50 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPP Allocation to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This JPP Allocation Mogno probability density function shows the probability of JPP Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPP Allocation Mogno has a beta of -0.49. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding JPP Allocation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, JPP Allocation Mogno is likely to outperform the market. Additionally JPP Allocation Mogno has an alpha of 0.0604, implying that it can generate a 0.0604 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPP Allocation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPP Allocation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPP Allocation Mogno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPP Allocation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPP Allocation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPP Allocation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPP Allocation Mogno, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPP Allocation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
JPP Allocation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPP Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPP Allocation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPP Allocation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 2.56k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 3.31k |
JPP Allocation Technical Analysis
JPP Allocation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPP Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPP Allocation Mogno. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPP Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPP Allocation Predictive Forecast Models
JPP Allocation's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPP Allocation's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPP Allocation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPP Allocation in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPP Allocation's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPP Allocation options trading.
Other Information on Investing in JPP Fund
JPP Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPP Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPP with respect to the benefits of owning JPP Allocation security.
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