Investec Ltd Adr Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 13.42
| ITCFY Stock | USD 13.42 3.28 19.64% |
Investec |
Investec Target Price Odds to finish over 13.42
The tendency of Investec Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 13.42 | 90 days | 13.42 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investec to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Investec Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Investec Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Investec has a beta of 0.89. This usually indicates Investec Ltd ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Investec is expected to follow. Additionally Investec Ltd ADR has an alpha of 0.0813, implying that it can generate a 0.0813 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Investec Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Investec
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investec ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Investec Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investec Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Investec Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investec ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Investec ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Investec ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Investec Ltd ADR has accumulated about 15.4 B in cash with (2.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Investec Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investec Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 954.2 M |
Investec Technical Analysis
Investec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investec Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investec Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investec Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investec Predictive Forecast Models
Investec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investec's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Investec ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Investec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investec ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Investec ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Investec ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Investec Ltd ADR has accumulated about 15.4 B in cash with (2.12 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 34.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Additional Tools for Investec Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Investec's price analysis, check to measure Investec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investec is operating at the current time. Most of Investec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.