Intrum Justitia (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.35
| INTRUM Stock | SEK 29.35 4.15 16.47% |
Intrum |
Intrum Justitia Target Price Odds to finish over 29.35
The tendency of Intrum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 29.35 | 90 days | 29.35 | about 82.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intrum Justitia to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 82.88 (This Intrum Justitia AB probability density function shows the probability of Intrum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intrum Justitia has a beta of 0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Intrum Justitia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intrum Justitia AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Intrum Justitia AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intrum Justitia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intrum Justitia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intrum Justitia AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intrum Justitia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrum Justitia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intrum Justitia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intrum Justitia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intrum Justitia AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intrum Justitia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Intrum Justitia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intrum Justitia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intrum Justitia AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intrum Justitia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has accumulated 51.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 173.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intrum Justitia AB has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intrum Justitia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intrum Justitia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intrum Justitia AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intrum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intrum Justitia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Intrum Justitia shares are owned by institutional investors |
Intrum Justitia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intrum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intrum Justitia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrum Justitia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 B |
Intrum Justitia Technical Analysis
Intrum Justitia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intrum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intrum Justitia AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intrum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intrum Justitia Predictive Forecast Models
Intrum Justitia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intrum Justitia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intrum Justitia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intrum Justitia AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intrum Justitia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intrum Justitia AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intrum Justitia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Intrum Justitia AB has accumulated 51.19 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 173.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intrum Justitia AB has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intrum Justitia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intrum Justitia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intrum Justitia AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intrum to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intrum Justitia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 74.0% of Intrum Justitia shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Intrum Stock
Intrum Justitia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intrum Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intrum with respect to the benefits of owning Intrum Justitia security.