Icc Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.94
| ICCH Stock | USD 23.35 0.08 0.34% |
ICC |
ICC Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 20.94
The tendency of ICC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 20.94 or more in 90 days |
| 23.35 | 90 days | 20.94 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICC Holdings to drop to $ 20.94 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ICC Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ICC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICC Holdings price to stay between $ 20.94 and its current price of $23.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ICC Holdings has a beta of -0.008. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ICC Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ICC Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ICC Holdings has an alpha of 0.0259, implying that it can generate a 0.0259 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ICC Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ICC Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICC Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICC Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICC Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICC Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICC Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICC Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICC Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.008 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ICC Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICC Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICC Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ICC Holdings currently holds 15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. ICC Holdings has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ICC Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of ICC Holdings shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily |
ICC Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ICC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ICC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
ICC Holdings Technical Analysis
ICC Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICC Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ICC Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
ICC Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ICC Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICC Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ICC Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about ICC Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICC Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ICC Holdings currently holds 15 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.24, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. ICC Holdings has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about ICC Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| About 55.0% of ICC Holdings shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: How the price action is used to our Advantage - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out ICC Holdings Backtesting, ICC Holdings Valuation, ICC Holdings Correlation, ICC Holdings Hype Analysis, ICC Holdings Volatility, ICC Holdings History as well as ICC Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ICC Stock please use our How to Invest in ICC Holdings guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICC Holdings. If investors know ICC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICC Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.415 | Earnings Share 2.16 | Revenue Per Share 31.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.233 | Return On Assets 0.024 |
The market value of ICC Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICC Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICC Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICC Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICC Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICC Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICC Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICC Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.