Highpeak Energy Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.76
| HPK Stock | USD 14.76 0.65 4.22% |
Closest to current price Highpeak long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Highpeak |
Highpeak Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 14.76
The tendency of Highpeak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 14.76 | 90 days | 14.76 | about 25.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highpeak Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.42 (This Highpeak Energy Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Highpeak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Highpeak Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Highpeak Energy Acquisition has an alpha of 0.1183, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Highpeak Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Highpeak Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highpeak Energy Acqu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Highpeak Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highpeak Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highpeak Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highpeak Energy Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highpeak Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Highpeak Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highpeak Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highpeak Energy Acqu can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Highpeak Energy Acqu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Highpeak Energy Acquisition has 1.15 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.54, which is OK given its current industry classification. Highpeak Energy Acqu has a current ratio of 0.53, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Highpeak to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Highpeak Energy Acqu has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 85.0% of Highpeak Energy shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 23rd of December 2024 Highpeak Energy paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Michael Hollis of 9256 shares of Highpeak Energy at 22.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Highpeak Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Highpeak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Highpeak Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highpeak Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 194.5 M |
Highpeak Energy Technical Analysis
Highpeak Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highpeak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highpeak Energy Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highpeak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Highpeak Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Highpeak Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highpeak Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highpeak Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Highpeak Energy Acqu
Checking the ongoing alerts about Highpeak Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highpeak Energy Acqu help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Highpeak Energy Acqu is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Highpeak Energy Acquisition has 1.15 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.54, which is OK given its current industry classification. Highpeak Energy Acqu has a current ratio of 0.53, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Highpeak to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Highpeak Energy Acqu has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 85.0% of Highpeak Energy shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 23rd of December 2024 Highpeak Energy paid $ 0.04 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Acquisition by Michael Hollis of 9256 shares of Highpeak Energy at 22.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Highpeak Energy Backtesting, Highpeak Energy Valuation, Highpeak Energy Correlation, Highpeak Energy Hype Analysis, Highpeak Energy Volatility, Highpeak Energy History as well as Highpeak Energy Performance. For more information on how to buy Highpeak Stock please use our How to buy in Highpeak Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Highpeak Energy. If investors know Highpeak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Highpeak Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.267 | Dividend Share 0.16 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.21) |
The market value of Highpeak Energy Acqu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Highpeak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Highpeak Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Highpeak Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Highpeak Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Highpeak Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Highpeak Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Highpeak Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Highpeak Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.