Gotham Large Value Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.46

GVALX Fund  USD 14.46  0.11  0.77%   
Gotham Large's future price is the expected price of Gotham Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Gotham Large Value performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Gotham Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Gotham Large Correlation, Gotham Large Hype Analysis, Gotham Large Volatility, Gotham Large History as well as Gotham Large Performance.
  
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Gotham Large Target Price Odds to finish over 14.46

The tendency of Gotham Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.46 90 days 14.46 
about 74.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gotham Large to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.52 (This Gotham Large Value probability density function shows the probability of Gotham Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gotham Large Value has a beta of -0.0904. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Gotham Large are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Gotham Large Value is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Gotham Large Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gotham Large Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gotham Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gotham Large Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.9514.4615.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0714.5816.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3114.8216.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.6014.1014.60
Details

Gotham Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gotham Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gotham Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gotham Large Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gotham Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Gotham Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gotham Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gotham Large Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gotham Large Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Gotham Large Technical Analysis

Gotham Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gotham Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gotham Large Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gotham Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Gotham Large Predictive Forecast Models

Gotham Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gotham Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gotham Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Gotham Large Value

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gotham Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gotham Large Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gotham Large Value generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund

Gotham Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Large security.
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