Grupo Media (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.07
| GQV Stock | EUR 1.07 0.00 0.00% |
Grupo |
Grupo Media Target Price Odds to finish over 1.07
The tendency of Grupo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.07 | 90 days | 1.07 | about 28.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grupo Media to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.11 (This Grupo Media Capital probability density function shows the probability of Grupo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Media Capital has a beta of -0.0667. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Grupo Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Grupo Media Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Grupo Media Capital has an alpha of 0.1133, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Grupo Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Grupo Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Media Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grupo Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grupo Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grupo Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grupo Media Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grupo Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Grupo Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grupo Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grupo Media Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Grupo Media Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Grupo Media Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grupo Media Capital has accumulated 70.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.25, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Grupo Media Capital has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grupo Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grupo Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grupo Media Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grupo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grupo Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 135.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 M. | |
| About 97.0% of Grupo Media shares are held by company insiders |
Grupo Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grupo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grupo Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.5 M |
Grupo Media Technical Analysis
Grupo Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grupo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grupo Media Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grupo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Grupo Media Predictive Forecast Models
Grupo Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grupo Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grupo Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Grupo Media Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Grupo Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grupo Media Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Grupo Media Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Grupo Media Capital has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Grupo Media Capital has accumulated 70.96 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.25, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Grupo Media Capital has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Grupo Media until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Grupo Media's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Grupo Media Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Grupo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Grupo Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 135.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.73 M. | |
| About 97.0% of Grupo Media shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Grupo Stock Analysis
When running Grupo Media's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Media is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.