Fs Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.08
| FSBW Stock | USD 41.80 0.59 1.39% |
FSBW |
FS Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 33.08
The tendency of FSBW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 33.08 or more in 90 days |
| 41.80 | 90 days | 33.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FS Bancorp to drop to $ 33.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This FS Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of FSBW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FS Bancorp price to stay between $ 33.08 and its current price of $41.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days FS Bancorp has a beta of 0.3. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FS Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FS Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FS Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FS Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FS Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FS Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FS Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FS Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FS Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FS Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.98 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
FS Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FS Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FS Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FS Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FS Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FS Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of November 2024 FS Bancorp paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TCW Group Inc. Reduces Stock Position in FS Bancorp, Inc. - MarketBeat |
FS Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FSBW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FS Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FS Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 310 M |
FS Bancorp Technical Analysis
FS Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FSBW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FS Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing FSBW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FS Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
FS Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many FS Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FS Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FS Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about FS Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FS Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FS Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FS Bancorp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| FS Bancorp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of November 2024 FS Bancorp paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TCW Group Inc. Reduces Stock Position in FS Bancorp, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for FSBW Stock Analysis
When running FS Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure FS Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FS Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of FS Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FS Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FS Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FS Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.