FSA (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.88
| FSA Stock | 0.81 0.01 1.22% |
FSA |
FSA Target Price Odds to finish below 0.88
The tendency of FSA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.88 after 90 days |
| 0.81 | 90 days | 0.88 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FSA to stay under 0.88 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FSA Group probability density function shows the probability of FSA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FSA Group price to stay between its current price of 0.81 and 0.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FSA has a beta of 0.0592. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, FSA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding FSA Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FSA Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FSA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FSA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FSA Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FSA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FSA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FSA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FSA Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FSA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
FSA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FSA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FSA Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FSA Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FSA Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FSA Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
FSA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FSA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FSA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FSA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 M |
FSA Technical Analysis
FSA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FSA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FSA Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing FSA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FSA Predictive Forecast Models
FSA's time-series forecasting models is one of many FSA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FSA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FSA Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about FSA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FSA Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FSA Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FSA Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| FSA Group is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for FSA Stock Analysis
When running FSA's price analysis, check to measure FSA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FSA is operating at the current time. Most of FSA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FSA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FSA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FSA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.