Finward Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.23
| FNWD Stock | USD 29.31 1.17 3.84% |
Finward |
Finward Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 25.23
The tendency of Finward Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.23 or more in 90 days |
| 29.31 | 90 days | 25.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Finward Bancorp to drop to $ 25.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Finward Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Finward Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Finward Bancorp price to stay between $ 25.23 and its current price of $29.31 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Finward Bancorp has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Finward Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Finward Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Finward Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0676, implying that it can generate a 0.0676 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Finward Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Finward Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Finward Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Finward Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Finward Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Finward Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Finward Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Finward Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Finward Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Finward Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Finward Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Finward Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Finward Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Finward Bancorp paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily |
Finward Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Finward Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Finward Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Finward Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.9 M |
Finward Bancorp Technical Analysis
Finward Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Finward Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Finward Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Finward Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Finward Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Finward Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Finward Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Finward Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Finward Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Finward Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Finward Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Finward Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 31st of October 2024 Finward Bancorp paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out Finward Bancorp Backtesting, Finward Bancorp Valuation, Finward Bancorp Correlation, Finward Bancorp Hype Analysis, Finward Bancorp Volatility, Finward Bancorp History as well as Finward Bancorp Performance. For information on how to trade Finward Stock refer to our How to Trade Finward Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Finward Bancorp. If investors know Finward will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Finward Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.72) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 2.71 | Revenue Per Share 16.365 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Finward Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Finward that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Finward Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Finward Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Finward Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Finward Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Finward Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Finward Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Finward Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.