La Francaise (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 35.96

FDJ Stock   35.96  0.74  2.02%   
La Francaise's future price is the expected price of La Francaise instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of La Francaise Des performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out La Francaise Backtesting, La Francaise Valuation, La Francaise Correlation, La Francaise Hype Analysis, La Francaise Volatility, La Francaise History as well as La Francaise Performance.
  
Please specify La Francaise's target price for which you would like La Francaise odds to be computed.

La Francaise Target Price Odds to finish over 35.96

The tendency of FDJ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.96 90 days 35.96 
about 86.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of La Francaise to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.55 (This La Francaise Des probability density function shows the probability of FDJ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon La Francaise Des has a beta of -0.24. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding La Francaise are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, La Francaise Des is likely to outperform the market. Additionally La Francaise Des has an alpha of 6.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 6.12E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   La Francaise Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for La Francaise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as La Francaise Des. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.4235.9637.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4030.9439.56
Details

La Francaise Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. La Francaise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the La Francaise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold La Francaise Des, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of La Francaise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0006
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.0008

La Francaise Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of La Francaise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for La Francaise Des can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

La Francaise Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FDJ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential La Francaise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. La Francaise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding190.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments719.7 M

La Francaise Technical Analysis

La Francaise's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FDJ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of La Francaise Des. In general, you should focus on analyzing FDJ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

La Francaise Predictive Forecast Models

La Francaise's time-series forecasting models is one of many La Francaise's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary La Francaise's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about La Francaise Des

Checking the ongoing alerts about La Francaise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for La Francaise Des help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in FDJ Stock

La Francaise financial ratios help investors to determine whether FDJ Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FDJ with respect to the benefits of owning La Francaise security.