FAP Agri (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5362.5
| FAPA Stock | IDR 5,375 25.00 0.47% |
FAP |
FAP Agri Target Price Odds to finish over 5362.5
The tendency of FAP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5,362 in 90 days |
| 5,375 | 90 days | 5,362 | about 69.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAP Agri to stay above 5,362 in 90 days from now is about 69.33 (This FAP Agri Tbk probability density function shows the probability of FAP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of FAP Agri Tbk price to stay between 5,362 and its current price of 5375.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon FAP Agri Tbk has a beta of -0.0637. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding FAP Agri are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, FAP Agri Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally FAP Agri Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. FAP Agri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FAP Agri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAP Agri Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAP Agri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAP Agri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAP Agri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAP Agri Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAP Agri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0051 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
FAP Agri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAP Agri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAP Agri Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FAP Agri Tbk has accumulated 3.77 T in total debt. FAP Agri Tbk has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FAP Agri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FAP Agri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FAP Agri Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FAP Agri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
FAP Agri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAP Agri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAP Agri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 166.4 B |
FAP Agri Technical Analysis
FAP Agri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FAP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FAP Agri Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing FAP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FAP Agri Predictive Forecast Models
FAP Agri's time-series forecasting models is one of many FAP Agri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FAP Agri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FAP Agri Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about FAP Agri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FAP Agri Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FAP Agri Tbk has accumulated 3.77 T in total debt. FAP Agri Tbk has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist FAP Agri until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, FAP Agri's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like FAP Agri Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for FAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about FAP Agri's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in FAP Stock
FAP Agri financial ratios help investors to determine whether FAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FAP with respect to the benefits of owning FAP Agri security.