Fact Ii Acquisition Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.89
| FACT Stock | USD 9.89 0.31 3.24% |
FACT |
FACT II Target Price Odds to finish over 9.89
The tendency of FACT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.89 | 90 days | 9.89 | about 58.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FACT II to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.18 (This FACT II Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of FACT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.39 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, FACT II will likely underperform. Additionally FACT II Acquisition has an alpha of 0.6386, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). FACT II Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FACT II
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FACT II Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FACT II's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FACT II Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FACT II is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FACT II's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FACT II Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FACT II within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
FACT II Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FACT II for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FACT II Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FACT II Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FACT II Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| FACT II Acquisition currently holds 62.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FACT II Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FACT II's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 87.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (269.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FACT II Acquisition currently holds about 425.94 K in cash with (58.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| FACT II Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of FACT II shares are owned by institutional investors |
FACT II Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FACT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FACT II's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FACT II's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 M |
FACT II Technical Analysis
FACT II's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FACT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FACT II Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing FACT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
FACT II Predictive Forecast Models
FACT II's time-series forecasting models is one of many FACT II's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary FACT II's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about FACT II Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about FACT II for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for FACT II Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| FACT II Acquisition had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| FACT II Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| FACT II Acquisition currently holds 62.6 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. FACT II Acquisition has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about FACT II's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 87.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (269.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| FACT II Acquisition currently holds about 425.94 K in cash with (58.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. | |
| FACT II Acquisition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of FACT II shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for FACT Stock Analysis
When running FACT II's price analysis, check to measure FACT II's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FACT II is operating at the current time. Most of FACT II's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FACT II's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FACT II's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FACT II to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.