Exelon Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.22
| EXC Stock | USD 37.33 0.31 0.84% |
Exelon |
Exelon Target Price Odds to finish below 36.22
The tendency of Exelon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 36.22 or more in 90 days |
| 37.33 | 90 days | 36.22 | about 1.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exelon to drop to $ 36.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.38 (This Exelon probability density function shows the probability of Exelon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exelon price to stay between $ 36.22 and its current price of $37.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.96 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Exelon has a beta of 0.12 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Exelon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Exelon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Exelon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Exelon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exelon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exelon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exelon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exelon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exelon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exelon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exelon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exelon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Exelon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Exelon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Exelon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Exelon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exelon has 44.01 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. Exelon has a current ratio of 0.89, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Exelon to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Exelon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of Exelon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Exelon paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Exelon Corp Spreads Holiday Cheer with Santas for Seniors Initiative |
Exelon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Exelon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Exelon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exelon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 997 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 445 M |
Exelon Technical Analysis
Exelon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exelon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exelon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exelon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exelon Predictive Forecast Models
Exelon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exelon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exelon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Exelon
Checking the ongoing alerts about Exelon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Exelon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Exelon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Exelon has 44.01 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. Exelon has a current ratio of 0.89, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Exelon to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Exelon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of Exelon shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 13th of December 2024 Exelon paid $ 0.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Exelon Corp Spreads Holiday Cheer with Santas for Seniors Initiative |
Check out Exelon Backtesting, Exelon Valuation, Exelon Correlation, Exelon Hype Analysis, Exelon Volatility, Exelon History as well as Exelon Performance. For information on how to trade Exelon Stock refer to our How to Trade Exelon Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exelon. If investors know Exelon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exelon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 2.43 | Revenue Per Share 22.913 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 | Return On Assets 0.026 |
The market value of Exelon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exelon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exelon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exelon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exelon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exelon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exelon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exelon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exelon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.