Ecn Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.06

ECNCF Stock  USD 2.28  0.12  5.56%   
ECN Capital's future price is the expected price of ECN Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ECN Capital Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ECN Capital Backtesting, ECN Capital Valuation, ECN Capital Correlation, ECN Capital Hype Analysis, ECN Capital Volatility, ECN Capital History as well as ECN Capital Performance.
  
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ECN Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 6.06

The tendency of ECN Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.06  or more in 90 days
 2.28 90 days 6.06 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ECN Capital to move over $ 6.06  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ECN Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of ECN Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ECN Capital Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 2.28  and $ 6.06  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon ECN Capital Corp has a beta of -1.33 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding ECN Capital Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, ECN Capital is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally ECN Capital Corp has an alpha of 0.6511, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ECN Capital Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.150.971.111.251.391.531.671.81.932.072.23Current PriceTargetECN Capital Mean 0.51.01.5
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ECN Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECN Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECN Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.286.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.106.19
Details

ECN Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ECN Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ECN Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ECN Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ECN Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

ECN Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ECN Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ECN Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECN Capital Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

ECN Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ECN Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ECN Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECN Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding246.1 M

ECN Capital Technical Analysis

ECN Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ECN Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ECN Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing ECN Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ECN Capital Predictive Forecast Models

ECN Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many ECN Capital's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ECN Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ECN Capital Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about ECN Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ECN Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ECN Capital Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in ECN Pink Sheet

ECN Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether ECN Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ECN with respect to the benefits of owning ECN Capital security.