Dow Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.94

DOW Stock  USD 39.94  0.84  2.15%   
Dow's future price is the expected price of Dow instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dow Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dow Backtesting, Dow Valuation, Dow Correlation, Dow Hype Analysis, Dow Volatility, Dow History as well as Dow Performance.
  
At this time, Dow's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to climb to 7.82 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 1.74 in 2024. Please specify Dow's target price for which you would like Dow odds to be computed.

Dow Target Price Odds to finish over 39.94

The tendency of Dow Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.94 90 days 39.94 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dow to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Dow Inc probability density function shows the probability of Dow Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Dow has a beta of 0.67 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dow average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dow Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dow Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dow Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dow

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dow Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3439.8041.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.9549.4050.86
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.4855.4761.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.490.520.58
Details

Dow Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dow is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dow's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dow Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dow within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
4.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

Dow Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dow for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dow Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dow Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 13th of December 2024 Dow paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dow Inc Announces Key Leadership Changes to Drive Growth and Sustainability

Dow Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dow Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding709 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Dow Technical Analysis

Dow's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dow Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dow Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dow Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dow Predictive Forecast Models

Dow's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dow's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dow's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dow Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dow for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dow Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dow Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dow Inc has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 13th of December 2024 Dow paid $ 0.7 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dow Inc Announces Key Leadership Changes to Drive Growth and Sustainability

Additional Tools for Dow Stock Analysis

When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.