Datagate Bilgisayar (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.70

DGATE Stock  TRY 39.70  0.70  1.73%   
Datagate Bilgisayar's future price is the expected price of Datagate Bilgisayar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Datagate Bilgisayar Backtesting, Datagate Bilgisayar Valuation, Datagate Bilgisayar Correlation, Datagate Bilgisayar Hype Analysis, Datagate Bilgisayar Volatility, Datagate Bilgisayar History as well as Datagate Bilgisayar Performance.
  
Please specify Datagate Bilgisayar's target price for which you would like Datagate Bilgisayar odds to be computed.

Datagate Bilgisayar Target Price Odds to finish over 39.70

The tendency of Datagate Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.70 90 days 39.70 
about 71.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Datagate Bilgisayar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 71.92 (This Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri probability density function shows the probability of Datagate Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Datagate Bilgisayar has a beta of 0.67 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Datagate Bilgisayar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Datagate Bilgisayar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Datagate Bilgisayar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Datagate Bilgisayar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Datagate Bilgisayar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.6239.7042.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0540.1243.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.9341.0144.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.0341.6043.17
Details

Datagate Bilgisayar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Datagate Bilgisayar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Datagate Bilgisayar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Datagate Bilgisayar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.67
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Datagate Bilgisayar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Datagate Bilgisayar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Datagate Bilgisayar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Datagate Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Datagate Bilgisayar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Datagate Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Datagate Bilgisayar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Datagate Bilgisayar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.8 M

Datagate Bilgisayar Technical Analysis

Datagate Bilgisayar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Datagate Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Datagate Bilgisayar Malzemeleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Datagate Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Datagate Bilgisayar Predictive Forecast Models

Datagate Bilgisayar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Datagate Bilgisayar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Datagate Bilgisayar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Datagate Bilgisayar

Checking the ongoing alerts about Datagate Bilgisayar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Datagate Bilgisayar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Datagate Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Datagate Stock

Datagate Bilgisayar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Datagate Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Datagate with respect to the benefits of owning Datagate Bilgisayar security.