Designer Brands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.82

DBI Stock  USD 5.64  0.09  1.57%   
Designer Brands' future price is the expected price of Designer Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Designer Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Designer Brands Backtesting, Designer Brands Valuation, Designer Brands Correlation, Designer Brands Hype Analysis, Designer Brands Volatility, Designer Brands History as well as Designer Brands Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Designer Stock please use our How to Invest in Designer Brands guide.
  
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Designer Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 5.82

The tendency of Designer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.82  or more in 90 days
 5.64 90 days 5.82 
about 44.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Designer Brands to move over $ 5.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.49 (This Designer Brands probability density function shows the probability of Designer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Designer Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 5.64  and $ 5.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.01 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Designer Brands has a beta of 0.16 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Designer Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Designer Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Designer Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Designer Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Designer Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Designer Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.285.589.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.017.3111.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.935.239.53
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.5312.6714.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Designer Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Designer Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Designer Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Designer Brands.

Designer Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Designer Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Designer Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Designer Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Designer Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Designer Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Designer Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Designer Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Designer Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Designer Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Nike will report earnings after the bell. Heres what Wall Street expects

Designer Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Designer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Designer Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Designer Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49.2 M

Designer Brands Technical Analysis

Designer Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Designer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Designer Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Designer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Designer Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Designer Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Designer Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Designer Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Designer Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Designer Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Designer Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Designer Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Designer Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Nike will report earnings after the bell. Heres what Wall Street expects
When determining whether Designer Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Designer Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Designer Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Designer Brands Stock:
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Designer Brands. If investors know Designer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Designer Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.57)
Earnings Share
0.04
Revenue Per Share
53.234
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.0067
The market value of Designer Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Designer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Designer Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Designer Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Designer Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Designer Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Designer Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Designer Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Designer Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.