Designer Brands (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.25
| D9W Stock | EUR 5.25 0.05 0.96% |
Designer |
Designer Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 5.25
The tendency of Designer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.25 | 90 days | 5.25 | about 40.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Designer Brands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 40.31 (This Designer Brands probability density function shows the probability of Designer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Designer Brands has a beta of -3.17 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Designer Brands are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Designer Brands is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Designer Brands has an alpha of 0.2615, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Designer Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Designer Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Designer Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Designer Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Designer Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Designer Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Designer Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Designer Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Designer Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Designer Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Designer Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Designer Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Designer Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Designer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Designer Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Designer Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.4 M |
Designer Brands Technical Analysis
Designer Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Designer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Designer Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Designer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Designer Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Designer Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Designer Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Designer Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Designer Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Designer Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Designer Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Designer Brands had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Designer Stock
When determining whether Designer Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Designer Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Designer Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Designer Brands Stock:Check out Designer Brands Backtesting, Designer Brands Valuation, Designer Brands Correlation, Designer Brands Hype Analysis, Designer Brands Volatility, Designer Brands History as well as Designer Brands Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Designer Stock please use our How to Invest in Designer Brands guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.