Community West Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.97
| CWBC Stock | USD 19.37 0.03 0.15% |
Community |
Community West Target Price Odds to finish over 24.97
The tendency of Community Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 24.97 or more in 90 days |
| 19.37 | 90 days | 24.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community West to move over $ 24.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Community West Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Community Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Community West Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 19.37 and $ 24.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Community West has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Community West average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Community West Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Community West Bancshares has an alpha of 0.0186, implying that it can generate a 0.0186 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Community West Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Community West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community West Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Community West Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community West Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Community West Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community West Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Community West Bancshares was previously known as Central Valley Community and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CVCY. | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Community West paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Community West Bancshares Director Steven D. Mcdonald Sells 9,155 Shares |
Community West Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Community Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Community West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Community West Technical Analysis
Community West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Community Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Community West Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Community Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Community West Predictive Forecast Models
Community West's time-series forecasting models is one of many Community West's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Community West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.