Community West Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.6
| CWBC Stock | USD 19.54 0.26 1.31% |
Community |
Community West Target Price Odds to finish below 21.6
The tendency of Community Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 21.60 after 90 days |
| 19.54 | 90 days | 21.60 | about 89.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Community West to stay under $ 21.60 after 90 days from now is about 89.51 (This Community West Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Community Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Community West Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 19.54 and $ 21.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.42 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.34 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Community West will likely underperform. Additionally Community West Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Community West Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Community West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Community West Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Community West Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Community West is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Community West's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Community West Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Community West within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Community West Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Community West for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Community West Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Community West Bancshares was previously known as Central Valley Community and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CVCY. | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Community West paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Community West Bancshares Director Steven D. Mcdonald Sells 9,155 Shares |
Community West Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Community Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Community West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Community West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Community West Technical Analysis
Community West's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Community Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Community West Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Community Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Community West Predictive Forecast Models
Community West's time-series forecasting models is one of many Community West's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Community West's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Community West Bancshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about Community West for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Community West Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Community West Bancshares was previously known as Central Valley Community and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol CVCY. | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Community West paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Community West Bancshares Director Steven D. Mcdonald Sells 9,155 Shares |
Check out Community West Backtesting, Community West Valuation, Community West Correlation, Community West Hype Analysis, Community West Volatility, Community West History as well as Community West Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Community West. If investors know Community will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Community West listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 0.55 | Revenue Per Share 6.221 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.452 |
The market value of Community West Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Community that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Community West's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Community West's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Community West's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Community West's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Community West's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Community West is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Community West's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.