CullenFrost Bankers (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 130.94
| CFZ Stock | EUR 137.00 1.00 0.72% |
CullenFrost |
CullenFrost Bankers Target Price Odds to finish over 130.94
The tendency of CullenFrost Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 130.94 in 90 days |
| 137.00 | 90 days | 130.94 | about 32.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CullenFrost Bankers to stay above € 130.94 in 90 days from now is about 32.39 (This CullenFrost Bankers probability density function shows the probability of CullenFrost Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CullenFrost Bankers price to stay between € 130.94 and its current price of €137.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CullenFrost Bankers has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CullenFrost Bankers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CullenFrost Bankers will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CullenFrost Bankers has an alpha of 0.3355, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CullenFrost Bankers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CullenFrost Bankers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CullenFrost Bankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CullenFrost Bankers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CullenFrost Bankers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CullenFrost Bankers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CullenFrost Bankers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CullenFrost Bankers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
CullenFrost Bankers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CullenFrost Bankers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CullenFrost Bankers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CullenFrost Bankers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CullenFrost Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CullenFrost Bankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CullenFrost Bankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.4 M |
CullenFrost Bankers Technical Analysis
CullenFrost Bankers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CullenFrost Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CullenFrost Bankers. In general, you should focus on analyzing CullenFrost Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CullenFrost Bankers Predictive Forecast Models
CullenFrost Bankers' time-series forecasting models is one of many CullenFrost Bankers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CullenFrost Bankers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CullenFrost Bankers
Checking the ongoing alerts about CullenFrost Bankers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CullenFrost Bankers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CullenFrost Stock
When determining whether CullenFrost Bankers is a strong investment it is important to analyze CullenFrost Bankers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CullenFrost Bankers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CullenFrost Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out CullenFrost Bankers Backtesting, CullenFrost Bankers Valuation, CullenFrost Bankers Correlation, CullenFrost Bankers Hype Analysis, CullenFrost Bankers Volatility, CullenFrost Bankers History as well as CullenFrost Bankers Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CullenFrost Stock please use our How to Invest in CullenFrost Bankers guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.