Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.13
| BWB Stock | USD 13.51 0.11 0.82% |
Bridgewater |
Bridgewater Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over 15.13
The tendency of Bridgewater Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 15.13 or more in 90 days |
| 13.51 | 90 days | 15.13 | about 21.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridgewater Bancshares to move over $ 15.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.89 (This Bridgewater Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Bridgewater Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bridgewater Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 13.51 and $ 15.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bridgewater Bancshares has a beta of 0.0812 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bridgewater Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bridgewater Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bridgewater Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bridgewater Bancshares Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bridgewater Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bridgewater Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridgewater Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bridgewater Bancshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bridgewater Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bridgewater Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bridgewater Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bridgewater Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Bridgewater Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bridgewater Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bridgewater Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bridgewater Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Implied Volatility Surging for Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Options |
Bridgewater Bancshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bridgewater Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bridgewater Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bridgewater Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.6 M |
Bridgewater Bancshares Technical Analysis
Bridgewater Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bridgewater Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bridgewater Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bridgewater Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.