Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.52
| BWB Stock | USD 13.49 0.26 1.89% |
Bridgewater |
Bridgewater Bancshares Target Price Odds to finish over 13.52
The tendency of Bridgewater Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.52 or more in 90 days |
| 13.49 | 90 days | 13.52 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bridgewater Bancshares to move over $ 13.52 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Bridgewater Bancshares probability density function shows the probability of Bridgewater Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bridgewater Bancshares price to stay between its current price of $ 13.49 and $ 13.52 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bridgewater Bancshares has a beta of 0.0739 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bridgewater Bancshares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bridgewater Bancshares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bridgewater Bancshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bridgewater Bancshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bridgewater Bancshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bridgewater Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridgewater Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bridgewater Bancshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bridgewater Bancshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bridgewater Bancshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bridgewater Bancshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bridgewater Bancshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Bridgewater Bancshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bridgewater Bancshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bridgewater Bancshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bridgewater Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Implied Volatility Surging for Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Options |
Bridgewater Bancshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bridgewater Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bridgewater Bancshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bridgewater Bancshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.6 M |
Bridgewater Bancshares Technical Analysis
Bridgewater Bancshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bridgewater Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bridgewater Bancshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bridgewater Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bridgewater Bancshares Predictive Forecast Models
Bridgewater Bancshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bridgewater Bancshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bridgewater Bancshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bridgewater Bancshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bridgewater Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bridgewater Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bridgewater Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Implied Volatility Surging for Bridgewater Bancshares Stock Options |
Check out Bridgewater Bancshares Backtesting, Bridgewater Bancshares Valuation, Bridgewater Bancshares Correlation, Bridgewater Bancshares Hype Analysis, Bridgewater Bancshares Volatility, Bridgewater Bancshares History as well as Bridgewater Bancshares Performance. For information on how to trade Bridgewater Stock refer to our How to Trade Bridgewater Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bridgewater Bancshares. If investors know Bridgewater will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bridgewater Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.10) | Earnings Share 1.05 | Revenue Per Share 3.832 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0072 |
The market value of Bridgewater Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bridgewater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bridgewater Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bridgewater Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bridgewater Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bridgewater Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridgewater Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridgewater Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridgewater Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.