Bankfinancial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.38
| BFIN Stock | USD 13.38 0.15 1.13% |
BankFinancial |
BankFinancial Target Price Odds to finish below 13.38
The tendency of BankFinancial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 13.38 | 90 days | 13.38 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BankFinancial to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This BankFinancial probability density function shows the probability of BankFinancial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days BankFinancial has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BankFinancial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BankFinancial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BankFinancial has an alpha of 0.0968, implying that it can generate a 0.0968 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BankFinancial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BankFinancial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BankFinancial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BankFinancial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BankFinancial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BankFinancial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BankFinancial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BankFinancial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
BankFinancial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BankFinancial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BankFinancial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BankFinancial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 29th of November 2024 BankFinancial paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BankFinancial Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Misses Expectations |
BankFinancial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BankFinancial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BankFinancial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BankFinancial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 178.5 M |
BankFinancial Technical Analysis
BankFinancial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BankFinancial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BankFinancial. In general, you should focus on analyzing BankFinancial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BankFinancial Predictive Forecast Models
BankFinancial's time-series forecasting models is one of many BankFinancial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BankFinancial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BankFinancial
Checking the ongoing alerts about BankFinancial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BankFinancial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BankFinancial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 29th of November 2024 BankFinancial paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: BankFinancial Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Misses Expectations |
Check out BankFinancial Backtesting, BankFinancial Valuation, BankFinancial Correlation, BankFinancial Hype Analysis, BankFinancial Volatility, BankFinancial History as well as BankFinancial Performance. To learn how to invest in BankFinancial Stock, please use our How to Invest in BankFinancial guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BankFinancial. If investors know BankFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BankFinancial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 0.63 | Revenue Per Share 4.355 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
The market value of BankFinancial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BankFinancial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BankFinancial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BankFinancial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BankFinancial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BankFinancial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BankFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BankFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BankFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.