Baidu Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.36
| BAIDF Stock | USD 11.75 0.50 4.44% |
Baidu |
Baidu Target Price Odds to finish below 9.36
The tendency of Baidu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.36 or more in 90 days |
| 11.75 | 90 days | 9.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baidu to drop to $ 9.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baidu Inc probability density function shows the probability of Baidu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baidu Inc price to stay between $ 9.36 and its current price of $11.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baidu has a beta of 0.93 suggesting Baidu Inc market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Baidu is expected to follow. Additionally Baidu Inc has an alpha of 0.4452, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Baidu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Baidu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baidu Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baidu's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Baidu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baidu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baidu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baidu Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baidu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Baidu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baidu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baidu Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Baidu Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Baidu Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Baidu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baidu Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baidu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baidu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B |
Baidu Technical Analysis
Baidu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baidu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baidu Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baidu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Baidu Predictive Forecast Models
Baidu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baidu's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baidu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Baidu Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Baidu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baidu Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Baidu Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Baidu Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Baidu Pink Sheet
When determining whether Baidu Inc is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Baidu Pink Sheet is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Baidu Inc Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Baidu Inc Stock:Check out Baidu Backtesting, Baidu Valuation, Baidu Correlation, Baidu Hype Analysis, Baidu Volatility, Baidu History as well as Baidu Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.