Avrupa Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.016

AVPMF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Avrupa Minerals' future price is the expected price of Avrupa Minerals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Avrupa Minerals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Avrupa Minerals Backtesting, Avrupa Minerals Valuation, Avrupa Minerals Correlation, Avrupa Minerals Hype Analysis, Avrupa Minerals Volatility, Avrupa Minerals History as well as Avrupa Minerals Performance.
  
Please specify Avrupa Minerals' target price for which you would like Avrupa Minerals odds to be computed.

Avrupa Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.016

The tendency of Avrupa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 65.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avrupa Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.74 (This Avrupa Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Avrupa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Avrupa Minerals will likely underperform. Moreover Avrupa Minerals has an alpha of 1.4368, implying that it can generate a 1.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Avrupa Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Avrupa Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avrupa Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0220.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0220.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0120.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.02
Details

Avrupa Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avrupa Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avrupa Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avrupa Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avrupa Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Avrupa Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avrupa Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avrupa Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avrupa Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Avrupa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Avrupa Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (138.91 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Avrupa Minerals has accumulated about 399.34 K in cash with (344.2 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Avrupa Minerals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avrupa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avrupa Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avrupa Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.7 M

Avrupa Minerals Technical Analysis

Avrupa Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avrupa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avrupa Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avrupa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Avrupa Minerals Predictive Forecast Models

Avrupa Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Avrupa Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avrupa Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Avrupa Minerals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Avrupa Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avrupa Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avrupa Minerals is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Avrupa Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Avrupa Minerals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (138.91 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Avrupa Minerals has accumulated about 399.34 K in cash with (344.2 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Avrupa Pink Sheet

Avrupa Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avrupa Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avrupa with respect to the benefits of owning Avrupa Minerals security.