Anel Elektrik (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.80
| ANELE Stock | TRY 15.80 0.46 3.00% |
Anel |
Anel Elektrik Target Price Odds to finish over 15.80
The tendency of Anel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 15.80 | 90 days | 15.80 | nearly 4.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anel Elektrik to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.6 (This Anel Elektrik Proje probability density function shows the probability of Anel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anel Elektrik Proje has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anel Elektrik are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anel Elektrik Proje is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anel Elektrik Proje has an alpha of 0.3599, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anel Elektrik Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Anel Elektrik
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anel Elektrik Proje. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anel Elektrik's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Anel Elektrik Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anel Elektrik is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anel Elektrik's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anel Elektrik Proje, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anel Elektrik within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Anel Elektrik Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anel Elektrik for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anel Elektrik Proje can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 981.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (123.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (60.28 M). | |
| Anel Elektrik Proje has accumulated about 51.24 M in cash with (101.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Anel Elektrik Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anel Elektrik's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anel Elektrik's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 265 M |
Anel Elektrik Technical Analysis
Anel Elektrik's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anel Elektrik Proje. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anel Elektrik Predictive Forecast Models
Anel Elektrik's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anel Elektrik's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anel Elektrik's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anel Elektrik Proje
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anel Elektrik for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anel Elektrik Proje help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 981.16 M. Net Loss for the year was (123.03 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (60.28 M). | |
| Anel Elektrik Proje has accumulated about 51.24 M in cash with (101.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Anel Stock
Anel Elektrik financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anel with respect to the benefits of owning Anel Elektrik security.