GROUNDS REST (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.52

AMMN Stock  EUR 0.52  0.00  0.00%   
GROUNDS REST's future price is the expected price of GROUNDS REST instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GROUNDS REST NA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GROUNDS REST Backtesting, GROUNDS REST Valuation, GROUNDS REST Correlation, GROUNDS REST Hype Analysis, GROUNDS REST Volatility, GROUNDS REST History as well as GROUNDS REST Performance.
  
Please specify GROUNDS REST's target price for which you would like GROUNDS REST odds to be computed.

GROUNDS REST Target Price Odds to finish over 0.52

The tendency of GROUNDS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.52 90 days 0.52 
about 31.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GROUNDS REST to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.98 (This GROUNDS REST NA probability density function shows the probability of GROUNDS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GROUNDS REST NA has a beta of -0.69. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GROUNDS REST are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GROUNDS REST NA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GROUNDS REST NA has an alpha of 0.2613, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GROUNDS REST Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GROUNDS REST

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GROUNDS REST NA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.526.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.456.03
Details

GROUNDS REST Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GROUNDS REST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GROUNDS REST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GROUNDS REST NA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GROUNDS REST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

GROUNDS REST Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GROUNDS REST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GROUNDS REST NA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GROUNDS REST NA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
GROUNDS REST NA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GROUNDS REST NA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
GROUNDS REST NA has accumulated about 5.55 M in cash with (22.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3.

GROUNDS REST Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GROUNDS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GROUNDS REST's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GROUNDS REST's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float4.8 M

GROUNDS REST Technical Analysis

GROUNDS REST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GROUNDS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GROUNDS REST NA. In general, you should focus on analyzing GROUNDS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GROUNDS REST Predictive Forecast Models

GROUNDS REST's time-series forecasting models is one of many GROUNDS REST's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GROUNDS REST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GROUNDS REST NA

Checking the ongoing alerts about GROUNDS REST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GROUNDS REST NA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GROUNDS REST NA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
GROUNDS REST NA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GROUNDS REST NA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
GROUNDS REST NA has accumulated about 5.55 M in cash with (22.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3.

Other Information on Investing in GROUNDS Stock

GROUNDS REST financial ratios help investors to determine whether GROUNDS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GROUNDS with respect to the benefits of owning GROUNDS REST security.