Aehr Test Systems Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.51
| AEHR Stock | USD 16.51 0.22 1.35% |
Aehr |
Aehr Test Target Price Odds to finish below 16.51
The tendency of Aehr Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 16.51 | 90 days | 16.51 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aehr Test to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Aehr Test Systems probability density function shows the probability of Aehr Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aehr Test has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aehr Test average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aehr Test Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aehr Test Systems has an alpha of 0.6352, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aehr Test Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aehr Test
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aehr Test Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aehr Test Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aehr Test is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aehr Test's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aehr Test Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aehr Test within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Aehr Test Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aehr Test for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aehr Test Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aehr Test Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aehr Test Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Glancy Prongay Murray LLP Reminds Investors of Looming Deadline in the Class Action ... |
Aehr Test Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aehr Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aehr Test's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aehr Test's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.2 M |
Aehr Test Technical Analysis
Aehr Test's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aehr Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aehr Test Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aehr Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aehr Test Predictive Forecast Models
Aehr Test's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aehr Test's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aehr Test's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aehr Test Systems
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aehr Test for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aehr Test Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aehr Test Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aehr Test Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Glancy Prongay Murray LLP Reminds Investors of Looming Deadline in the Class Action ... |
Additional Tools for Aehr Stock Analysis
When running Aehr Test's price analysis, check to measure Aehr Test's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aehr Test is operating at the current time. Most of Aehr Test's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aehr Test's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aehr Test's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aehr Test to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.