Albertsons Companies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.74

ACI Stock  USD 19.63  0.11  0.56%   
Albertsons Companies' future price is the expected price of Albertsons Companies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Albertsons Companies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Albertsons Companies Backtesting, Albertsons Companies Valuation, Albertsons Companies Correlation, Albertsons Companies Hype Analysis, Albertsons Companies Volatility, Albertsons Companies History as well as Albertsons Companies Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Albertsons Stock please use our How to Invest in Albertsons Companies guide.
  
As of now, Albertsons Companies' Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Albertsons Companies' current Price Cash Flow Ratio is estimated to increase to 4.70, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.14. Please specify Albertsons Companies' target price for which you would like Albertsons Companies odds to be computed.

Albertsons Companies Target Price Odds to finish over 23.74

The tendency of Albertsons Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 23.74  or more in 90 days
 19.63 90 days 23.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Albertsons Companies to move over $ 23.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Albertsons Companies probability density function shows the probability of Albertsons Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Albertsons Companies price to stay between its current price of $ 19.63  and $ 23.74  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.2 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Albertsons Companies has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Albertsons Companies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Albertsons Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Albertsons Companies has an alpha of 0.0794, implying that it can generate a 0.0794 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Albertsons Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Albertsons Companies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Albertsons Companies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Albertsons Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.1019.5621.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6722.0723.53
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6424.8827.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.660.67
Details

Albertsons Companies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Albertsons Companies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Albertsons Companies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Albertsons Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Albertsons Companies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Albertsons Companies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Albertsons Companies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Albertsons Companies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of November 2024 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Albertsons Companies Inc Announces Upcoming Release of Q3 Fiscal 2024 Financial Results

Albertsons Companies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Albertsons Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Albertsons Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Albertsons Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding581.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments188.7 M

Albertsons Companies Technical Analysis

Albertsons Companies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Albertsons Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Albertsons Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Albertsons Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Albertsons Companies Predictive Forecast Models

Albertsons Companies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Albertsons Companies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Albertsons Companies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Albertsons Companies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Albertsons Companies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Albertsons Companies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 8th of November 2024 Albertsons Companies paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Albertsons Companies Inc Announces Upcoming Release of Q3 Fiscal 2024 Financial Results
When determining whether Albertsons Companies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Albertsons Companies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Albertsons Companies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Albertsons Companies Stock:
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albertsons Companies. If investors know Albertsons will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Albertsons Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Dividend Share
0.48
Earnings Share
1.71
Revenue Per Share
137.961
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Albertsons that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Albertsons Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Albertsons Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Albertsons Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Albertsons Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Albertsons Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Albertsons Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Albertsons Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.