Tinavi Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.66

688277 Stock   10.66  0.08  0.74%   
Tinavi Medical's future price is the expected price of Tinavi Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tinavi Medical Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tinavi Medical Backtesting, Tinavi Medical Valuation, Tinavi Medical Correlation, Tinavi Medical Hype Analysis, Tinavi Medical Volatility, Tinavi Medical History as well as Tinavi Medical Performance.
  
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Tinavi Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 10.66

The tendency of Tinavi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.66 90 days 10.66 
about 33.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tinavi Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.48 (This Tinavi Medical Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Tinavi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tinavi Medical has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tinavi Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tinavi Medical Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tinavi Medical Technologies has an alpha of 0.9114, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tinavi Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tinavi Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tinavi Medical Techn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.2710.8415.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.1410.7115.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tinavi Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tinavi Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tinavi Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tinavi Medical Techn.

Tinavi Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tinavi Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tinavi Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tinavi Medical Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tinavi Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.91
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

Tinavi Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tinavi Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tinavi Medical Techn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tinavi Medical Techn had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 210.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (156.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.06 M.
Tinavi Medical generates negative cash flow from operations
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Would Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd Be Better Off With Less Debt - Simply Wall St

Tinavi Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tinavi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tinavi Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tinavi Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding449.4 M

Tinavi Medical Technical Analysis

Tinavi Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tinavi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tinavi Medical Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tinavi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tinavi Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Tinavi Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tinavi Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tinavi Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tinavi Medical Techn

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tinavi Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tinavi Medical Techn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tinavi Medical Techn had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 210.04 M. Net Loss for the year was (156.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 154.06 M.
Tinavi Medical generates negative cash flow from operations
About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Would Tinavi Medical TechnologiesLtd Be Better Off With Less Debt - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Tinavi Stock

Tinavi Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tinavi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tinavi with respect to the benefits of owning Tinavi Medical security.