SICC (China) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.09

688234 Stock   55.99  2.01  3.47%   
SICC's future price is the expected price of SICC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SICC Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SICC Backtesting, SICC Valuation, SICC Correlation, SICC Hype Analysis, SICC Volatility, SICC History as well as SICC Performance.
  
Please specify SICC's target price for which you would like SICC odds to be computed.

SICC Target Price Odds to finish below 51.09

The tendency of SICC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  51.09  or more in 90 days
 55.99 90 days 51.09 
about 8.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SICC to drop to  51.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.89 (This SICC Co probability density function shows the probability of SICC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SICC price to stay between  51.09  and its current price of 55.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SICC has a beta of 0.22. This suggests as returns on the market go up, SICC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SICC Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SICC Co has an alpha of 0.3149, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SICC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SICC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SICC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.1055.1860.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7748.8561.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SICC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SICC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SICC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SICC.

SICC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SICC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SICC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SICC Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SICC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
5.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

SICC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SICC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SICC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SICC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (33.43 M).
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Confidence In December 2024s Leading Growth Stocks - Simply Wall St

SICC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SICC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SICC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SICC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding429.7 M

SICC Technical Analysis

SICC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SICC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SICC Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing SICC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SICC Predictive Forecast Models

SICC's time-series forecasting models is one of many SICC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SICC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SICC

Checking the ongoing alerts about SICC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SICC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SICC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (33.43 M).
About 65.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Insider Confidence In December 2024s Leading Growth Stocks - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in SICC Stock

SICC financial ratios help investors to determine whether SICC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SICC with respect to the benefits of owning SICC security.