Nan Liu (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 82.84

6504 Stock  TWD 65.80  1.70  2.52%   
Nan Liu's future price is the expected price of Nan Liu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nan Liu Enterprise performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nan Liu Backtesting, Nan Liu Valuation, Nan Liu Correlation, Nan Liu Hype Analysis, Nan Liu Volatility, Nan Liu History as well as Nan Liu Performance.
  
Please specify Nan Liu's target price for which you would like Nan Liu odds to be computed.

Nan Liu Target Price Odds to finish over 82.84

The tendency of Nan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 82.84  or more in 90 days
 65.80 90 days 82.84 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nan Liu to move over NT$ 82.84  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Nan Liu Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Nan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nan Liu Enterprise price to stay between its current price of NT$ 65.80  and NT$ 82.84  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nan Liu has a beta of 0.0162. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Nan Liu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nan Liu Enterprise will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nan Liu Enterprise has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nan Liu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nan Liu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nan Liu Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.8965.8066.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.3953.3072.38
Details

Nan Liu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nan Liu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nan Liu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nan Liu Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nan Liu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
1.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Nan Liu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nan Liu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nan Liu Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nan Liu Enterprise generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nan Liu Enterprise has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Nan Liu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nan Liu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nan Liu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding72.6 M

Nan Liu Technical Analysis

Nan Liu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nan Liu Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nan Liu Predictive Forecast Models

Nan Liu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nan Liu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nan Liu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nan Liu Enterprise

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nan Liu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nan Liu Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nan Liu Enterprise generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nan Liu Enterprise has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 54.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Nan Stock Analysis

When running Nan Liu's price analysis, check to measure Nan Liu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nan Liu is operating at the current time. Most of Nan Liu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nan Liu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nan Liu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nan Liu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.