Nan Liu Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

6504 Stock  TWD 65.80  1.70  2.52%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nan Liu Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 65.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.00. Nan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Nan Liu is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nan Liu Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nan Liu Enterprise on the next trading day is expected to be 65.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nan Liu's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nan Liu Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nan Liu Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nan Liu's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nan Liu's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.89 and 66.71, respectively. We have considered Nan Liu's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.80
65.80
Expected Value
66.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nan Liu stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nan Liu stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6068
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1305
MADMean absolute deviation0.4576
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0066
SAESum of the absolute errors27.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nan Liu Enterprise price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nan Liu. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nan Liu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nan Liu Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.8965.8066.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.3953.3072.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nan Liu

For every potential investor in Nan, whether a beginner or expert, Nan Liu's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nan Liu's price trends.

Nan Liu Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nan Liu stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nan Liu could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nan Liu by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nan Liu Enterprise Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nan Liu's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nan Liu's current price.

Nan Liu Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nan Liu stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nan Liu shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nan Liu stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nan Liu Enterprise entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nan Liu Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nan Liu's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nan Liu's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Nan Stock Analysis

When running Nan Liu's price analysis, check to measure Nan Liu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nan Liu is operating at the current time. Most of Nan Liu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nan Liu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nan Liu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nan Liu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.