Liaoning Dingjide (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.12
| 603255 Stock | 31.48 0.64 1.99% |
Liaoning |
Liaoning Dingjide Target Price Odds to finish below 15.12
The tendency of Liaoning Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.12 or more in 90 days |
| 31.48 | 90 days | 15.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liaoning Dingjide to drop to 15.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical probability density function shows the probability of Liaoning Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Liaoning Dingjide price to stay between 15.12 and its current price of 31.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liaoning Dingjide are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical has an alpha of 0.3692, implying that it can generate a 0.37 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liaoning Dingjide Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liaoning Dingjide
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liaoning Dingjide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liaoning Dingjide Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liaoning Dingjide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liaoning Dingjide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liaoning Dingjide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Liaoning Dingjide Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liaoning Dingjide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liaoning Dingjide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liaoning Dingjide had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Liaoning Dingjide is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Allocation Trends At Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical Arent Ideal - Simply Wall St |
Liaoning Dingjide Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liaoning Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liaoning Dingjide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liaoning Dingjide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.5 M |
Liaoning Dingjide Technical Analysis
Liaoning Dingjide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liaoning Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liaoning Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liaoning Dingjide Predictive Forecast Models
Liaoning Dingjide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liaoning Dingjide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liaoning Dingjide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liaoning Dingjide
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liaoning Dingjide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liaoning Dingjide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Liaoning Dingjide had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Liaoning Dingjide is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Capital Allocation Trends At Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical Arent Ideal - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Liaoning Stock
Liaoning Dingjide financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liaoning Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liaoning with respect to the benefits of owning Liaoning Dingjide security.