Liaoning Dingjide Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

603255 Stock   32.12  1.46  4.35%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 33.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.31. Liaoning Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Liaoning Dingjide stock prices and determine the direction of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Liaoning Dingjide's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Liaoning Dingjide's Long Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 122.2 M, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 184.9 M.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Liaoning Dingjide is based on an artificially constructed time series of Liaoning Dingjide daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Liaoning Dingjide 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical on the next trading day is expected to be 33.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Liaoning Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Liaoning Dingjide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Liaoning Dingjide Stock Forecast Pattern

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Liaoning Dingjide Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Liaoning Dingjide's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Liaoning Dingjide's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.74 and 36.39, respectively. We have considered Liaoning Dingjide's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.12
33.06
Expected Value
36.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Liaoning Dingjide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Liaoning Dingjide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.8532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3432
MADMean absolute deviation1.0613
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0344
SAESum of the absolute errors57.3088
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Liaoning Dingjide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liaoning Dingjide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.5732.8236.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.0726.3235.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Liaoning Dingjide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Liaoning Dingjide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Liaoning Dingjide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Liaoning Dingjide.

Other Forecasting Options for Liaoning Dingjide

For every potential investor in Liaoning, whether a beginner or expert, Liaoning Dingjide's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Liaoning Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Liaoning. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Liaoning Dingjide's price trends.

Liaoning Dingjide Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Liaoning Dingjide stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Liaoning Dingjide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Liaoning Dingjide by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Liaoning Dingjide Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Liaoning Dingjide's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Liaoning Dingjide's current price.

Liaoning Dingjide Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Liaoning Dingjide stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Liaoning Dingjide shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Liaoning Dingjide stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Liaoning Dingjide Petrochemical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Liaoning Dingjide Risk Indicators

The analysis of Liaoning Dingjide's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Liaoning Dingjide's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liaoning stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Liaoning Stock

Liaoning Dingjide financial ratios help investors to determine whether Liaoning Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Liaoning with respect to the benefits of owning Liaoning Dingjide security.