China Aluminum (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.12
| 601068 Stock | 4.53 0.01 0.22% |
China |
China Aluminum Target Price Odds to finish over 7.12
The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 7.12 or more in 90 days |
| 4.53 | 90 days | 7.12 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Aluminum to move over 7.12 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This China Aluminum International probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of China Aluminum Inter price to stay between its current price of 4.53 and 7.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Aluminum International has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Aluminum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Aluminum International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Aluminum International has an alpha of 0.288, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). China Aluminum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for China Aluminum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Aluminum Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Aluminum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Aluminum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Aluminum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Aluminum International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Aluminum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
China Aluminum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Aluminum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Aluminum Inter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| China Aluminum Inter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.01 B. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
China Aluminum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Aluminum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aluminum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
China Aluminum Technical Analysis
China Aluminum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Aluminum International. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
China Aluminum Predictive Forecast Models
China Aluminum's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Aluminum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Aluminum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about China Aluminum Inter
Checking the ongoing alerts about China Aluminum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Aluminum Inter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| China Aluminum Inter has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 22.26 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.01 B. | |
| About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Aluminum financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Aluminum security.