China Aluminum International Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| 601068 Stock | 4.59 0.18 3.77% |
China | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
China Aluminum International Company chance of distress Analysis
China Aluminum's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current China Aluminum Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 52% |
Most of China Aluminum's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, China Aluminum International is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of China Aluminum probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting China Aluminum odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of China Aluminum International financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, China Aluminum International has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 52%. This is 22.12% higher than that of the Construction & Engineering sector and 54.21% higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all China stocks is 30.55% lower than that of the firm.
China Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses China Aluminum's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of China Aluminum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.China Aluminum is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
China Aluminum Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Debt | 5.6B | 11.0B | 17.2B | 9.1B | 9.4B | 10.7B | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 35.2B | 29.9B | 30.9B | 31.0B | 26.8B | 32.0B | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 5.4B | 8.9B | 12.7B | 6.0B | 6.9B | 6.8B | |
| Total Assets | 56.0B | 54.5B | 58.8B | 47.4B | 40.9B | 52.0B | |
| Total Current Assets | 44.8B | 38.6B | 38.5B | 38.2B | 32.1B | 40.6B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.1B | 610.7M | 659.8M | 524.9M | 722.7M | 496.4M |
China Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.04 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.07) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 24.23 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 2.56 B | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 88.28 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.46 % | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.21 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.53 X | ||||
| Revenue | 22.26 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 3.01 B | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.51 B) | ||||
| Net Income | (2.66 B) | ||||
| Total Debt | 6.6 B | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.07 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 722.66 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.58) X | ||||
| Target Price | 5.29 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 11.46 K | ||||
| Beta | 0.72 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 12.45 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 40.94 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.18 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 5.31 B | ||||
| Net Asset | 40.94 B |
About China Aluminum Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze China Aluminum International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of China Aluminum using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Aluminum International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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China Aluminum financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Aluminum security.