China Aluminum (China) Price Prediction
| 601068 Stock | 4.89 0.15 3.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.701 | Wall Street Target Price 5.29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using China Aluminum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Aluminum International from the perspective of China Aluminum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Aluminum to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Aluminum after-hype prediction price | CNY 4.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Aluminum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Aluminum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Aluminum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Aluminum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Aluminum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Aluminum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Aluminum's historical news coverage. China Aluminum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.87 and 7.47, respectively. We have considered China Aluminum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Aluminum is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Aluminum Inter is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Aluminum Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Aluminum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Aluminum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Aluminum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.80 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.89 | 4.67 | 1.48 |
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China Aluminum Hype Timeline
China Aluminum Inter is presently traded for 4.89on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. China is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -1.48%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on China Aluminum is about 12727.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.88. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of China Aluminum was presently reported as 1.07. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.58. China Aluminum Inter last dividend was issued on the 17th of July 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out China Aluminum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Aluminum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Aluminum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Aluminum's future price movements. Getting to know how China Aluminum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Aluminum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600715 | Cultural Investment Holdings | 0.1 | 2 per month | 2.77 | 0.10 | 5.00 | (4.79) | 10.24 | |
| 600898 | Gome Telecom Equipment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.47 | 0.07 | 5.16 | (5.08) | 10.41 | |
| 002188 | Bus Online Co | (0.23) | 2 per month | 2.54 | 0.1 | 4.41 | (3.87) | 17.88 | |
| 002217 | Holitech Technology Co | (0.02) | 1 per month | 2.67 | 0.24 | 5.19 | (5.00) | 10.65 | |
| 000980 | Zotye Automobile Co | 0.04 | 1 per month | 3.41 | 0.16 | 10.00 | (6.28) | 20.19 |
China Aluminum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Aluminum Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Aluminum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Aluminum International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Aluminum based on analysis of China Aluminum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Aluminum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Aluminum's related companies.
Story Coverage note for China Aluminum
The number of cover stories for China Aluminum depends on current market conditions and China Aluminum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Aluminum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Aluminum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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China Aluminum Short Properties
China Aluminum's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Aluminum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Aluminum International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Aluminum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Aluminum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis
When running China Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure China Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of China Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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