China Enterprise (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.88

600675 Stock   2.88  0.12  4.00%   
China Enterprise's future price is the expected price of China Enterprise instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Enterprise Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out China Enterprise Backtesting, China Enterprise Valuation, China Enterprise Correlation, China Enterprise Hype Analysis, China Enterprise Volatility, China Enterprise History as well as China Enterprise Performance.
  
Please specify China Enterprise's target price for which you would like China Enterprise odds to be computed.

China Enterprise Target Price Odds to finish over 2.88

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.88 90 days 2.88 
about 72.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Enterprise to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.57 (This China Enterprise Co probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon China Enterprise Co has a beta of -0.0369. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding China Enterprise are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, China Enterprise Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally China Enterprise Co has an alpha of 0.2966, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   China Enterprise Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Enterprise

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.896.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.495.96
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Enterprise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Enterprise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Enterprise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Enterprise.

China Enterprise Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Enterprise is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Enterprise's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Enterprise Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Enterprise within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

China Enterprise Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Enterprise for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Enterprise had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
China Enterprise has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
China Enterprise generates negative cash flow from operations
About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Strong week for China Enterprise shareholders doesnt alleviate pain of five-year loss - Simply Wall St

China Enterprise Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Enterprise's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Enterprise's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.1 B

China Enterprise Technical Analysis

China Enterprise's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Enterprise Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Enterprise Predictive Forecast Models

China Enterprise's time-series forecasting models is one of many China Enterprise's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary China Enterprise's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Enterprise

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Enterprise for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Enterprise had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
China Enterprise has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
China Enterprise generates negative cash flow from operations
About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Strong week for China Enterprise shareholders doesnt alleviate pain of five-year loss - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in China Stock

China Enterprise financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Enterprise security.