Shanghai Jinfeng (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.34
| 600616 Stock | 5.67 0.07 1.25% |
Shanghai |
Shanghai Jinfeng Target Price Odds to finish over 5.34
The tendency of Shanghai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.34 in 90 days |
| 5.67 | 90 days | 5.34 | about 68.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shanghai Jinfeng to stay above 5.34 in 90 days from now is about 68.04 (This Shanghai Jinfeng Wine probability density function shows the probability of Shanghai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shanghai Jinfeng Wine price to stay between 5.34 and its current price of 5.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shanghai Jinfeng has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and Shanghai Jinfeng do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like Shanghai Jinfeng's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Shanghai Jinfeng Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Shanghai Jinfeng
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai Jinfeng Wine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Shanghai Jinfeng Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shanghai Jinfeng is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shanghai Jinfeng's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shanghai Jinfeng Wine, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shanghai Jinfeng within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Shanghai Jinfeng Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shanghai Jinfeng for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shanghai Jinfeng Wine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Shanghai Jinfeng had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Shanghai Jinfeng has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Shanghai Jinfeng generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Optimistic Investors Push Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Company Limited Shares Up 31 percent But Growth Is Lacking - Simply Wall St |
Shanghai Jinfeng Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shanghai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shanghai Jinfeng's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shanghai Jinfeng's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 669 M |
Shanghai Jinfeng Technical Analysis
Shanghai Jinfeng's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shanghai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shanghai Jinfeng Wine. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shanghai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Shanghai Jinfeng Predictive Forecast Models
Shanghai Jinfeng's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shanghai Jinfeng's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shanghai Jinfeng's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Shanghai Jinfeng Wine
Checking the ongoing alerts about Shanghai Jinfeng for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shanghai Jinfeng Wine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Shanghai Jinfeng had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Shanghai Jinfeng has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Shanghai Jinfeng generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 42.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Optimistic Investors Push Shanghai Jinfeng Wine Company Limited Shares Up 31 percent But Growth Is Lacking - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock
Shanghai Jinfeng financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai Jinfeng security.