Beijing Dalong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.41

600159 Stock   2.41  0.12  5.24%   
Beijing Dalong's future price is the expected price of Beijing Dalong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Dalong Weiye performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Dalong Backtesting, Beijing Dalong Valuation, Beijing Dalong Correlation, Beijing Dalong Hype Analysis, Beijing Dalong Volatility, Beijing Dalong History as well as Beijing Dalong Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Dalong's target price for which you would like Beijing Dalong odds to be computed.

Beijing Dalong Target Price Odds to finish over 2.41

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.41 90 days 2.41 
over 95.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Dalong to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.54 (This Beijing Dalong Weiye probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Dalong has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Beijing Dalong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beijing Dalong Weiye will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beijing Dalong Weiye has an alpha of 0.0384, implying that it can generate a 0.0384 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Dalong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Dalong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Dalong Weiye. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.415.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.175.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Dalong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Dalong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Dalong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Dalong Weiye.

Beijing Dalong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Dalong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Dalong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Dalong Weiye, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Dalong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.20
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Beijing Dalong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Dalong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Dalong Weiye can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Dalong Weiye generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Beijing Dalong Weiye has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Beijing Dalong Weiye has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 709.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (330.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 482.58 M.
Beijing Dalong generates negative cash flow from operations
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Dalong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Dalong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Dalong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding830 M

Beijing Dalong Technical Analysis

Beijing Dalong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Dalong Weiye. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Dalong Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Dalong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Dalong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Dalong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Dalong Weiye

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Dalong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Dalong Weiye help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Dalong Weiye generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Beijing Dalong Weiye has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Beijing Dalong Weiye has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 709.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (330.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 482.58 M.
Beijing Dalong generates negative cash flow from operations
About 50.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Dalong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Dalong security.