Walker Dunlop (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 81.59
| 5WD Stock | EUR 92.50 2.50 2.63% |
Walker |
Walker Dunlop Target Price Odds to finish below 81.59
The tendency of Walker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 81.59 or more in 90 days |
| 92.50 | 90 days | 81.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Walker Dunlop to drop to € 81.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Walker Dunlop probability density function shows the probability of Walker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Walker Dunlop price to stay between € 81.59 and its current price of €92.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Walker Dunlop has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Walker Dunlop average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Walker Dunlop will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Walker Dunlop has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Walker Dunlop Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Walker Dunlop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walker Dunlop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Walker Dunlop Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Walker Dunlop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Walker Dunlop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Walker Dunlop, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Walker Dunlop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Walker Dunlop Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Walker Dunlop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Walker Dunlop can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Walker Dunlop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Walker Dunlop has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Walker Dunlop Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Walker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Walker Dunlop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Walker Dunlop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.3 M |
Walker Dunlop Technical Analysis
Walker Dunlop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Walker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Walker Dunlop. In general, you should focus on analyzing Walker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Walker Dunlop Predictive Forecast Models
Walker Dunlop's time-series forecasting models is one of many Walker Dunlop's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Walker Dunlop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Walker Dunlop
Checking the ongoing alerts about Walker Dunlop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Walker Dunlop help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Walker Dunlop generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Walker Dunlop has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Walker Stock
When determining whether Walker Dunlop is a strong investment it is important to analyze Walker Dunlop's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Walker Dunlop's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Walker Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Walker Dunlop Backtesting, Walker Dunlop Valuation, Walker Dunlop Correlation, Walker Dunlop Hype Analysis, Walker Dunlop Volatility, Walker Dunlop History as well as Walker Dunlop Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Walker Stock please use our How to Invest in Walker Dunlop guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.