Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| 5WD Stock | EUR 95.00 4.50 4.52% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 94.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.93. Walker Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Walker Dunlop's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Walker |
Walker Dunlop Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Walker Dunlop on the next trading day is expected to be 94.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.68, mean absolute percentage error of 4.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 98.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walker Dunlop's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Walker Dunlop Stock Forecast Pattern
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Walker Dunlop Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Walker Dunlop's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walker Dunlop's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 92.61 and 96.66, respectively. We have considered Walker Dunlop's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walker Dunlop stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walker Dunlop stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2349 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6768 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 98.9341 |
Predictive Modules for Walker Dunlop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walker Dunlop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Walker Dunlop
For every potential investor in Walker, whether a beginner or expert, Walker Dunlop's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walker Dunlop's price trends.Walker Dunlop Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walker Dunlop stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walker Dunlop could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walker Dunlop by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Walker Dunlop Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Walker Dunlop's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Walker Dunlop's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Walker Dunlop Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walker Dunlop stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walker Dunlop shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walker Dunlop stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walker Dunlop entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 95.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 95.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.50) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.19 |
Walker Dunlop Risk Indicators
The analysis of Walker Dunlop's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Walker Dunlop's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting walker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Walker Stock
When determining whether Walker Dunlop is a strong investment it is important to analyze Walker Dunlop's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Walker Dunlop's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Walker Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walker Dunlop to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Walker Stock please use our How to Invest in Walker Dunlop guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.